What's On Your Horizon? Critical Challenges and Key Trends

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If you haven’t seen my take on the webinar about the Horizon Report, feel free to take a look at it. This post is a follow up about the Critical Challenges and Key Trends of the Horizon Report.

Critical Challenges

There are always challenges when incorporating technology into how we learn. The Horizon Report pinpointed five that will have a significant impact within the next five years on how we teach and inform our students.

The first critical challenge is “a growing need for formal instruction in key new skills, including information literacy, visual literacy, and technological literacy.” These are essential 21st century skills that are critical for students to learn as it will mean the difference between getting a job in today’s very technology based workplace or not. As an instructional designer who creates courses directly for the K-12 teacher market, I find this significant. If I cannot incorporate the tech tools our teachers need, who then pass that knowledge on to their students, then what good am I doing them? By preparing our teachers, in turn I am preparing our students.

Second critical challenge is “students are different, but a lot of educational material is not.” In other words, course materials have not kept up with technology. Kids are using a wide variety of tools outside of school that they allow them access to all sorts of knowledge. However, the materials within school, i.e. hardcover books, pencils, paper, are not necessarily what kids are using outside of school. There is a major gap between in and out of school tech usage. Not only that but the kids think differently than children the same age 20 years ago. This is mostly because they are more global in their approach to life. Before they had a very limited view of the world because they could not see or reach it. Now, kids are able to chat with people on the other side of the world an collaborate with them in ways that we as kids were not able to do.

As a teacher and designer, how can I best use this information to reach my students? I think the first thing is to really start thinking like a kid and paying attention to what interests them. By being a bit playful and stepping outside of the box, I can even incorporate those ideas into my lesson plans so that I catch and hold their attention. It’s not rocket science.

The third critical challenge is “significant shifts are taking place in the ways scholarship and research are conducted, and there is a need for innovation and leadership at all levels of the academy.” If you have ever tried to implement any kind of change at a university, large or small, you may have hit a brick wall. These institutions are slow to change and are falling behind on the way students interact with each other and with knowledge.

How can we expect our students to be competing for the top jobs in this digital world if the places that are supposed to be getting them ready are behind the times, technologically? We can’t and we fail our students every time it happens. Instructors who incorporate dynamic forms of learning ought to be rewarded for their innovation. These are the people that will drag educational institutions into the 21st century kicking and screaming. Otherwise those same places will lose their students to educational institutions that will listen to innovators.

The fourth critical challenge is “we are expected, especially in public education, to measure and prove through formal assessment that our students are learning.” I am a big believer in project based learning. Students should be able to apply knowledge and show what they can do rather than sit through a multiple question test that does nothing than assess how well they memorized the facts the night before. A more holistic way of assessing the whole child needs to supplant the pen and paper tests that students are required to take to move on to the next level. Yes, they need to know math and language basics but I think there is a better way to find out what that is besides making them sit down for a test to do it.

Fifth, and final, critical challenge is “higher education is facing a growing expectation to make use of and to deliver services, content, and media to mobile devices.” I chuckled when I heard the speakers discuss this challenge. What makes us think that higher education is able to offer services on mobile devices if they cannot even get their academic process to include advances in technology across the board? The demand for mobile learning forces universities and other formal learning institutions to switch from a very formal type of learning to informal learning.

We learn all the time. Listening to a podcast from an iPhone, accessing the lecture notes from a cafe, or using the camera function to take pictures are only a few things that educational institutions can use mobile tech for. While some institutions do some of this, they don’t use it wholeheartedly or with the effectiveness that it could be done.

Key Trends

The first key trend is the increasing globalization of just about everything. The world is definitely becoming flatter as we are able to collaborate and communicate around the globe within milliseconds. This ability effects everything that we do, from working to learning. It also effects how we educate our students on how to work and study.

The next key trend is “collective intelligence” which redefines how the think about ambiguity and intelligence. For example, Wikipedia and Amazon both use collective intelligence to inform people that use those services. Wikipedia is explicit in that they information that is developed is for a specific purpose whereas Amazon is implicit in that it’s a side benefit of their business model.

It also changes the way we think about answering questions and possibly, about how we ask the question. With so much knowledge available on the Internet, we need to be aware that there maybe more than one valid answer to a question but more importantly how to judge the truthfulness of it as well. It also takes the control of information out of the teacher’s hands. Students are just as likely to Google an answer or turn to Wikipedia as they are to ask the teacher or a parent.

The third key trend is one that I am particularly interested in: experience with and an affinity with games as a teaching tool. I think that there is a lot that we can learn not only from game design but also how we can incorporate the principles of gaming into lesson plans. It makes sense if you think about it. Children like to play. It is one of the many ways that they explore their world. Games and gaming are an extension of that and should be included in the classroom in some way.

Additionally, the gaming types are becoming very sophisticated as large massively multiplayer and other online games are a collaborative environment in which to work with other people from around the world. Playing games encourages problem solving, social interaction, and teamwork amongst a host of other skills that kids need to know. And why not use something they already like to do?

Visualization tools are the next big trend. These kinds of tools makes it easier to understand information and the relationships between that information. The example given was Wesabi, a financial management tool. Basically, it imports all your financial information from whatever banking or financial institutions that you use. You then can tag all the information/transactions and you can see the connections between where you spend your money, i.e. food vs. child care. Another example is Quintura, a way to visually see how searches are related to one another.

A great quote by Catherine Green (AIR) about visualization tools from the chat: Visualization tools could help move us toward more universal design for learning (UDL), assistive technology, supporting diff. learning preferences, LDs, etc.

The last trend is, not surprisingly, also on the first horizon: mobile phones. More than a billion mobile phones are produced each year and the innovation used in developing them has skyrocketed by global competition. They’re more like little computers rather than mere phones. The innovations found in the mobile phone market will not only continue to grow but also change how we think about communication. And this is not something that will change any time soon.

What's On Your Horizon?

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Today I attended “What’s On Your Horizon?”, a webcast offered by New Media Consortium (the people who put together the Horizon Report), TCC (Technology, Colleges, and Community conference), and Learning Times Network. During the webinar, Rachel Smith, Cyprien Lomas, and Alan Levine, discussed the six emerging technologies from the report as well as key trends and challenges.

If you haven’t read the Horizon Report , go do so now. It’s chocked full of information on 6 emerging technologies or practices that will be used by learning institutions within the next five years. It also discusses some of the challenges and trends associated with these technologies and their implementation.

The webinar itself was a very basic overview of what’s in the report. Since I already read it, what I really took away from the experience were the examples used to illustrate each of the technologies (I’ve included those later in this post).

I also enjoyed the research questions asked by the moderators at the beginning of the webinar. There were some surprising, and not so surprising, answers to the questions. It was a good interaction and segue into the emerging technologies, challenges, and future trends discussions.

The first question was: what technologies do you see used in some places that most learning focused institutions will be using less than a year from now? There were a wide variety of answers, as you might imagine. They included everything from mobile learning to social bookmarking to wikis and blogs.

Question 2 was: what technologies that have a solid user base in consumer, entertainment, or other industries should learning-focused institutions be activley looking for ways to apply? This added in some interesting additions, including mobile applications, gaming, iTunes, live chat, and online tutor support.

Finally, they asked: what emerging experimental technologies you see developing to the point that learning- focused institutions should begin to take notice during the next 4 to 5 years? The answers were wildly different ranging from a netflix model but educationally oriented to  holographics to cloud computing, social networking incorporated into the classroom and or learning environment.

What surprised me, at least, was that cloud computing was already in the Horizon Report 2009 as on the first adoption horizon (less than a year).

The emergence of large-scale “data farms” — large clusters of networked servers — is bringing huge quantities of processing power and storage capacity within easy reach. Inexpensive, simple solutions to offsite storage, multi-user application scaling, hosting, and multi-processor computing are opening the door to wholly different ways of thinking about computers, software, and files. (Horizon Report, 2009)

Apparently cloud computing is here and already in use by many people. Used Google Apps lately?  And I guess the reason I didn’t think of it as an emerging technology is that I already use it to collaborate with subject matter experts. To me, it’s already old hat. But the people at Moodleroom don’t think so as they are in the process of integrating Google Apps for Education into their application.

What didn’t surprise me out of the webinar or the report itself was that mobiles were on the first adoption horizon.

Already considered as another component of the network on many campuses, mobiles continue to evolve rapidly. New interfaces, the ability to run third-party applications, and location-awareness have all come to the mobile device in the past year, making it an ever more versatile tool that can be easily adapted to a host of tasks for learning, productivity, and social networking. For many users, broadband mobile devices like the iPhone have already begun to assume many tasks that were once the exclusive province of portable computers. (Horizon Report, 2009)

The point to remember with mobiles is that they are continuously evolving. The cell you buy today won’t have the apps that the next generation will have in a month or three. They are moving towards becoming mini-computers but have not reached that level of sophistication as of yet. I doubt it will be long though. What we need to do as IDs is really start thinking about the effective use of this new medium and how or even if it should be incorporated into our learning designs. As mlearning is a particular favorite subject of mine, I’m definitely keeping an eye on this trend.

On the next adoption horizon, 2 – 3 years, are geo-everything and the personal web.

Geo-Everything. Geocoded data has many applications, but until very recently, it was time- consuming and difficult for non-specialists to determine the physical coordinates of a place or object, and options for using that data were limited. Now, many common devices can automatically determine and record their own precise location and can save that data along with captured media (like photographs) or can transmit it to web-based applications for a host of uses. The full implications of geo-tagging are still unfolding, but the impact in research has already been profound. (Horizon Report, 2009)

For some reason, I thought these might already be ubiquitous but apparently not. I think, at least for geo-everything, the uniqueness of its inclusion is the sentence “common devices can automatically determine and record their own precise location…..can transmit it to web-based applications for a host of uses.” This is not something that has been able to happen before because the mobile technology was not advanced enough. So these two, at least, go hand in hand as far as developing technologies.

The Personal Web. Springing from the desire to reorganize online content rather than simply viewing it, the personal web is part of a trend that has been fueled by tools to aggregate the flow of content in customizable ways and expanded by an increasing collection of widgets that manage online content. The term personal web was coined to represent a collection of technologies that are used to configure and manage the ways in which one views and uses the Internet. Using a growing set of free and simple tools and applications, it is easy to create a customized, personal web-based environment — a personal web — that explicitly supports one’s social, professional, learning, and other activities. (Horizon Report, 2009)

Mashups have been around for a while now but I think that the importance here is that by personalizing their experiences, teachers are encouraging students to take charge of their learning and become responsible for it. Some examples are: Google Docs, flatworld knowledge, Terra, Pageflakes, Netvibes, hosted or organized blogging platforms through the schools.

On the last horizon, 4 to 5 years, are semantic-aware applications and smart objects. These are some very cool subjects and I can see a myriad of uses for them.

Semantic-Aware Applications. New applications are emerging that are bringing the promise of the semantic web into practice without the need to add additional layers of tags, identifiers, or other top-down methods of defining context. Tools that can simply gather the context in which information is couched, and that use that context to extract embedded meaning are providing rich new ways of finding and aggregating content. At the same time, other tools are allowing context to be easily modified, shaped, and redefined as information flows are combined. (Horizon Report, 2009)

A very cool semantic-aware search engine that Rachel Smith of NMC shared was something called TrueKnowledge (in beta stage now). Instead of looking for each word or a data set, this search engine looks at the pieces of information, connects it from all the pieces flung across the very wide and deep Internet, and then returns contextual results. Her example was “how many world leaders are over the age of 60?” Basically, TrueKnowledge will eventually be able to take the term “world leaders” connect to the term “60″ and give a list of all leaders that are over that age. It doesn’t work yet, though. I know since I tried it. However, I did pop in the term “who is the oldest world leader” and got back a handful of articles with some information. One of them gave me this:

The World’s 10 Oldest Leaders

  • ROBERT MUGABE, 84, president of Zimbabwe, 28 years in power
  • KING ABDULLAH , 84, king of Saudi Arabia, 12 years in power
  • GIRIJA PRASAD KOIRALA, 83, prime minister of Nepal, two current years in power
  • ABDOULAYE WADE, 81, president of Senegal, eight years in power
  • HOSNI MUBARAK, 79, president of Egypt, 26 years in power
  • SHEIKH SABAH AL AHMAD AL SABAH, 78, emir of Kuwait, five years in power
  • RAUL CASTRO, 76, president of Cuba, two years in power, including unofficially
  • MWAI KIBAKI, 76, president of Kenya, five years in power
  • MANMOHAN SINGH, 75, prime minister of India, four years in power
  • THAN SHWE, 75, chair of Burma’s military junta, 16 years in power

Which brings us to smart objects, the last of the emerging technologies in the Horizon Report.

Smart Objects. Sometimes described as the “Internet of things,” smart objects describe a set of technologies that is imbuing ordinary objects with the ability to recognize their physical location and respond appropriately, or to connect with other objects or information. A smart object “knows” something about itself — where and how it was made, what it is for, where it should be, or who owns it, for example — and something about its environment. While the underlying technologies that make this possible — RFID, QR codes, smartcards, touch and motion sensors, and the like — are not new, we are now seeing new forms of sensors, identifiers, and applications with a much more generalizable set of functionalities. (Horizon Report, 2009)

A real world example of extending the technology of smart objects is for use in your local library. Embed the books and other items with smart tech and it could mean that books are shelved correctly every time, people stop walking out with items they haven’t checked out, among other things. Or create a whole new hands on experience for kids at the library, like the project ThinkeringSpace.  Another very cool idea can be found at Siftables. They’re basically little blocks that you can arrange to your hearts content to interact with digital information and media. Make sure to watch the video on their site to get a better idea of what these cool learning toys can do. Basically, I want a set for myself. My kids can have it after I’m done.

Join me next time when I go over the challenges and trends identified in the Horizon Report.

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